| 摘要: |
| 为探究数字普惠金融与农业产业链韧性耦合协调及其影响因素，基于2012—2021年中国31个省域面板数据（统计数据未含港澳台地区，下同），在构建农业产业链韧性指标体系的基础上，借助熵权法评估数字普惠金融与农业产业链韧性水平，并通过耦合协调度模型、核密度估计分析两者耦合协调的时空演化特征，在此基础上，采用空间计量模型探究影响两者耦合协调发展的因素。研究发现：1）时间维度上，数字普惠金融与农业产业链韧性耦合协调关系趋于增强，整体呈缓慢上升趋势。其中，农业产业链韧性提升趋缓，数字普惠金融快速发展已成为推动两者耦合协调发展的重要因素。2）空间维度上，数字普惠金融与农业产业链韧性耦合协调度呈现“点状分散—块状集聚”的空间演化特征，极度失调、低度协调区逐渐消失，逐渐形成西北、西南方向“陷落”的空间格局。3）经济发展水平、财政支农水平、城镇化水平对两者耦合协调发展具有正向促进作用，城乡收入差距具有负向抑制作用。鉴于此，应强化区域协同发展理念，充分挖掘协同发展潜力，因地制宜实现数字普惠金融与农业产业链韧性协调高质量发展。 |
| 关键词: 数字普惠金融 农业产业链韧性 耦合协调 空间计量 |
| DOI：10.11841/j.issn.1007-4333.2024.07.26 |
| 投稿时间：2023-10-14 |
| 基金项目:国家社会科学基金项目（21BJY130；19BGJ171） |
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| Coupling coordination and influencing factors of digital inclusive finance and resilience of agricultural industry chain |
|
ZHOU Yuxi, CHENG Chuangye
|
| (School of Economics and Management， Shandong Agricultural University， Tai’an 271018， China) |
| Abstract: |
| In order to explore the coupling coordination and influencing factors of digital inclusive finance and resilience of agricultural industry chain， based on the panel data from 31 provinces in China from 2012 to 2021（The data do not include those of Hong Kong， Macao and Taiwan regions. The same below.）this study uses methods such as coupling coordination， kernel density estimation， and spatial econometrics to explore the coupling coordination and influencing factors. The results show that： 1） In terms of time dimension， the coupling and coordination relationship between digital inclusive finance and the resilience of the agricultural industry chain tends to strengthen， and the overall trend is slowly increasing. Among them， the improvement of the resilience of the agricultural industry chain is slowing down， and the rapid development of digital inclusive finance has become an important factor in promoting the coupling and coordinated development. 2） In terms of spatial dimension， the coupling and coordination between digital inclusive finance and the resilience of the agricultural industry chain exhibit a spatial evolution feature of ‘point dispersion block agglomeration’， with extreme imbalance and low coordination areas gradually disappearing， gradually forming a spatial pattern of ‘sinking’ in the northwest and southwest directions. 3） The levels of economic development， fiscal support for agriculture， and urbanization have positive promoting effect on the coupled and coordinated development， while the urban-rural income gap has a negative inhibitory effect. To sum up， it is necessary to strengthen the concept of regional collaborative development， fully tap into the potential of collaborative development， and achieve high-quality coordinated development between the two based on local conditions. |
| Key words: digital inclusive finance resilience of agricultural industry chain coupling coordination spatial econometric |
