| 摘要: |
| 利用北京市和河北省1 010个城镇居民家庭畜产品消费调研数据，采用分位数回归方法，对影响城镇居民家庭畜产品户内消费的关键因素进行研究。结果表明：1）城镇居民家庭畜产品户内消费的地区差异十分显著；2）畜产品质量安全事件会显著影响城镇居民家庭畜产品户内消费，非洲猪瘟的发生，不仅对畜禽肉的户内消费有直接影响，而且会通过替代效应引致蛋奶类产品的消费增长；3）对平衡膳食的关注，能刺激城镇居民增加肉蛋消费，但对奶产品消费没有显著影响；4）收入水平正向影响城镇居民家庭畜禽肉和奶产品的户内消费，但对鸡蛋户内消费影响不显著，而商品房房贷对城镇居民家庭肉蛋奶3类畜产品消费均没有显著影响；5）高学历家庭户内肉蛋奶消费均以适量为主，家庭人口结构对城镇居民户内奶产品消费没有显著影响。鉴于此，建议采取完善畜产品质量安全体系建设，加强平衡膳食宣传，更加注重市场细分等措施，促进城镇居民家庭畜产品合理消费。 |
| 关键词: 城镇居民家庭 畜产品消费 影响因素 分位数回归 |
| DOI：10.11841/j.issn.1007-4333.2024.05.21 |
| 投稿时间：2023-07-14 |
| 基金项目:国家现代农业产业技术体系（CARS-40）；国家重点研发计划课题（2018YFD0501305） |
|
| Analysis on the influencing factors of urban households’ livestock products consumption |
|
XUE Li, ZHU Ning
|
| (Institute of Agricultural Economics and Development， Chinese Academy of Agricultural Sciences， Beijing 100081， China) |
| Abstract: |
| Based on the survey data of livestock products consumption from 1 010 urban households in Beijing and Hebei Province， using quantile regression method， this study analyzes the key factors affecting the indoor consumption of livestock products of urban households. The results show that： 1） The regional difference of indoor consumption of livestock products of urban households is very significant； 2） The quality and safety events of livestock products significantly affect the indoor consumption of livestock products of urban households. The outbreak of African swine fever not only has direct effect on indoor consumption of meat， but also increase the consumption of eggs and dairy products through substitution effect； 3） Their attention to balanced diet can stimulate urban residents to increase meat and eggs consumption， but has no significant effect on dairy products consumption； 4） The income level has a positive effect on indoor consumption of meat and dairy products of urban households， but has no significant effect on indoor consumption of eggs. The commercial housing loan has no significant effect on the consumption of meat， eggs， and dairy products of urban households； 5） The indoor consumption of meat， eggs and dairy products in high-educated families is moderate， while the household population structure has no significant effect on indoor consumption of dairy products of urban households. In view of all the above， it is suggested that measures should be taken to improve the quality and safety system of livestock products， strengthen balanced diet publicity and pay more attention to market segmentation， so as to promote rational consumption of livestock products by urban households. |
| Key words: urban households livestock products consumption influencing factors quantile regression |
