| 摘要: |
| 为探索俄乌冲突背景之下的粮食安全危机问题，基于俄乌冲突爆发以来粮食市场的供需情况和价格数据，以中东和非洲地区的粮食安全问题为案例进行探究。结果表明:俄乌冲突引发此轮粮食危机，导致粮食、能源和化肥等相关产品供需失衡，价格全面上涨，并呈现危害程度极大、驱动因素不同以往和现实启示作用明显增强等突出特征；本轮粮食安全危机加剧了区域内的农业资源毁灭性开发，同时由点到面扩散产生连锁反应，并导致外部势力加速向中东和非洲渗透，严重冲击了中东和非洲的社会稳定和可持续发展，对全球粮食供应链和农业贸易及投资格局产生了深刻影响。研究认为:中东和非洲地区要提高农业生产水平和粮食自给能力来增强抗风险能力，加大对外部资源和技术的多元化运用以提升粮食危机应对能力，同时要重视发挥国际组织的协调作用以缓解粮食安全压力及扩散形成的外部不稳定压力，并提升人口规模和人口质量的综合治理水平，从长远思维来解决粮食安全难题。此外，中国作为构建人类命运共同体的践行者，要充分发挥“一带一路”倡议的积极作用，参与中东和非洲地区的粮食安全治理，为人类社会的发展贡献力量。 |
| 关键词: 俄乌冲突 中东和非洲 粮食安全 特征 影响 治理路径 |
| DOI：10.11841/j.issn.1007-4333.2022.12.02 |
| 投稿时间：2022-09-19 |
| 基金项目:国家社科基金重大项目(20&ZD119)；重庆市社会科学规划项目(2022 NDQN30) |
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| Food security in the Middle East and Africa under the context of the Russia-Ukraine conflict: Characteristics, implications and governance paths |
|
LI Donglin1,LI Chunding1*,CAI Lihui2
|
| (1.College of Economics and Management, China Agricultural University, Beijing 100083, China;2.Chongqing Municipal Party School, Chongqing 400041, China) |
| Abstract: |
| To explore the food security crisis in the context of the Russian-Ukrainian conflict, this study takes the food security issues in the Middle East and Africa as a case study based on the food market's supply, demand, and price data since the outbreak of the Russian-Ukrainian conflict. The results showed that the Russian-Ukrainian conflict triggered this round of food crises, resulting in an imbalance between the supply and demand of food, energy and fertilizers, and other related products, with prices rising across the board. The current round of food security crisis has exacerbated the region's destructive development of agricultural resources. At the same time, it has spread from point to area, resulting in a chain reaction and accelerated penetration of external forces into the Middle East and Africa, which severely impacted the social stability and sustainability development of the Middle East and Africa and profoundly affected the global food supply chain, agricultural trade, and investment patterns. The research believes that: The Middle East and Africa should improve the level of farm production and food self-sufficiency to enhance the ability to resist risks, increase the diversified use of external resources and technologies to improve their ability to respond to food crises, . At the same time, the Middle East and Africa should pay attention to the coordination role of international organizations to alleviate the pressure of food security and external instability caused by proliferation, improve the comprehensive management level of population size and population quality, and solve food security problems from a long-term perspective. In addition, as a practitioner of building a community with a shared future for humanity, China should give full play to the positive role of the Belt and Road Initiative, participate in food security governance in the Middle East and Africa, and contribute to the development of human society. |
| Key words: Russia-Ukraine conflict the Middle East and Africa food security characteristics impact governance paths |
