| 摘要: |
| 为了解玉米收储制度改革对农户种植结构调整意愿的影响，基于吉林省359个农户数据，运用二元Logit离散选择模型，研究了玉米收储制度改革对东北主产区优势产区农户和非优势产区农户收入及种植结构调整意愿的影响。结果表明：1）优势产区玉米产量、品质、玉米生产者补贴标准都明显高于非优势产区，优势产区农户种植玉米仍可获得合理收益，非优势产区农户种植玉米则普遍亏损；2）优势产区农户种植结构调整意愿不高的影响因素主要有：玉米出售价格（正相关）、土地流转难易程度（负相关）、对玉米生产者补贴标准的满意程度（正相关）。非优势产区农户种植结构调整意愿较高的影响因素主要有：农业劳动力数量（正相关）、耕地面积（负相关）、贷款状况（正相关）、玉米出售价格（负相关）、是否了解玉米收储制度改革的具体内容（正相关）。 |
| 关键词: 玉米 收储制度改革 农户收入 意愿 影响因素 |
| DOI：10.11841/j.issn.1007-4333.2018.11.20 |
| 投稿时间：2018-01-16 |
| 基金项目:国家自然科学基金青年项目（71403273）；清华大学中国农村研究院2016年重点研究课题（CIRS2016-7）；农业部软科学（K201717）；中国农业科学院科技创新工程项目（ASTIP-IAED-2018-04）；中央级公益性科研院所基本科研业务费（161005201801-4） |
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| Effects of corn storage system reform on households' willingness of planting structure adjustment: Based on the survey data of 359 households in Jilin Province |
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LIU Hui1, XUE Fengrui2, ZHOU Xiangyang1, LIU Fujiang1, ZHAO Yifu1
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| (1.Institute of Agricultural Economics and Development, Chinese Academy of Agriculture Sciences, Beijing 100081, China;2.College of Economics and Trade, Hebei Agricultural University, Baoding 071001, China) |
| Abstract: |
| In order to understand the influence of corn storage system reform on the households' willingness of planting structure adjustment, based on the data of 359 households in Jilin Province, a Binary Logit Discrete Choice Model applied to study the effects of the corn storage system reform on the households' income and willingness of planting structure adjustment in main production areas of Northeast China. The results showed that:1)Because of far higher corn yield, quality and corn producer subsidy level in advantageous areas than those in non-advantageous areas, Households in advantageous areas still made reasonable profit, while those in non-advantageous areas generally got a loss; 2)The factors affecting the households' planting structure adjustment with lower willingness in advantageous areas were mainly corn sale price (positive correlation), land transfer difficulty degree (negative correlation) and satisfaction degree with corn producer subsidy standards (positive correlation). Those affecting the farmers' planting structure adjustment with stronger willingness in non-advantageous areas were mainly the quantity of agricultural labors (positive correlation), the cultivated land (negative correlation), the loan condition (positive correlation), the corn sale price (negative correlation) and whether to know the specific content of corn storage system reform (positive correlation). |
| Key words: corn storage system reform willingness influential factors |
