| 摘要: |
| 为了解区域动物疫病损失情况,在总结疫病损失评估研究成果的理论基础上,提出"标准单位疫病"的经济学损失评估方法。首先以山东省作为标准单位地区,构建了地区的经济损失、社会损失和环境损失评估体系,然后使用熵权法与疫病程度系数相结合,以赤峰市作为待评估地区对"标准单位疫病"法进行了实证模拟分析。评估结果显示,受禽流感影响,2013年山东省总损失为87.628 4亿元,赤峰市总损失为1.555 1亿元。演示"标准单位疫病"法具备了在相关详细数据不完整的客观情况下,对待评估地区的动物疫病损失进行快速评估,从而提供决策参考的能力。 |
| 关键词: 动物疫病 经济损失评估 标准单位疫病 熵权法 疫病调整系数 |
| DOI：10.11841/j.issn.1007-4333.2016.08.21 |
| 投稿时间：2015-10-18 |
| 基金项目:农业部中国动物卫生与流行病学中心项目(105231388);湖北省教育厅哲学社会科学研究重大项目(14ZD001) |
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| Economic evaluation method research on losses arising from animal epidemics: “Standard-unit-epidemic-disease (SUED)” evaluation method |
|
LIAO Qi, YOU Shi-bing
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| (Economics and Management School, Wuhan University, Wuhan 430072, China) |
| Abstract: |
| In order to understand the regional animal disease losses, this paper proposes the loss evaluation method of standard-unit-epidemic-disease (SUED) by the study of disease loss evaluation research achievements and theory.At first, Shandong Province is taken as the standard area, and region loss assessment system is consist of economic loss, social loss, and environment loss.Then, the entropy method and "disease degree coefficient" are introduced to study the epidemic effects on Chifeng City (the area to be evaluated), which is a simulation analysis of "Standard-unit-epidemic-disease (SUED)" evaluation method.The results showed that, influenced by bird flu, the total loss of Shandong Province in 2013 was 87.6284 billion Yuan, and the loss of Chifeng city was 155.51 million Yuan, proved that the loss evaluation method can rapidly assess the probable losses arising from an animal epidemic in a region even if the related data is incomplete, which also provided a basis for decision makers to propose appropriate actions. |
| Key words: animal epidemics economic loss evaluation standard-unit-epidemic-disease entropy method disease degree coefficient |
