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基于发展概率差别化的耕地保护经济补偿研究——以北京市平谷区为例
奉婷1,2, 张凤荣1, 郭俊梅3, 李灿2, 曲衍波4
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(1.中国农业大学资源与环境学院/国土资源部农用地质量与监控重点实验室/土地利用与管理研究中心, 北京 100193;2.华南农业大学 公共管理学院, 广州 510642;3.乌海市国土资源局, 乌海016000;4.山东财经大学 公共管理学院, 济南 250014)
摘要:
为进一步为北京市耕地保护补偿实践提供实证依据, 建立健全耕地保护补偿理论与方法, 本研究以北京市平谷区为例, 采用Logistic回归法测算区域耕地地块发展概率, 据此进行耕地发展概率分区;选取区域征地补偿中的安置补助费作为参照标准测算耕地保护主体机会成本损失;最终由不同的耕地发展概率修正得到全区耕地保护补偿值。基于发展概率差别化测算平谷区耕地保护经济补偿结果在空间上具有由中心城区向远郊不断降低趋势, 符合区域发展实际;差额化耕地保护补偿既弥补了种地农户机会成本损失, 解决了土地规划与征收所带来的农地发展机会不均问题, 又强化其耕地保护意愿。
关键词:  经济补偿  耕地保护  发展概率  Logistic回归  平谷区
DOI:10.11841/j.issn.1007-4333.2014.06.30
投稿时间:2013-12-20
基金项目:北京市优秀博士学位论文指导教师人文社科项目 (YB20101001901)
Differential compensation of farmland protection based on the farmland conversion probability: A case study in Pinggu District of Beijing
FENG Ting1,2, ZHANG Feng-rong1, GUO Jun-mei3, LI Can2, QU Yan-bo4
(1.College of Resources and Environmental Sciences/Key Laboratory of Land Quality Ministry of Land and Resources/CAU Research Center for Land Use and Management China Agricultural University, Beijing 100193, China;2.College of Public Management, South China Agricultural University, Guangzhou 510642, China;3.Wuhai Municipal Bureau of Land and Resources, Wuhai 016000, China;4.School of Public Management, Shandong University of Finance and Economic, Jinan, 250014, China)
Abstract:
In order to provide empirical basis for farmland conversion practices in Beijing and then establish and improve the theory and method of compensation of farmland protection, Pinggu district in Beijing was used as an example and implemented partitions based on measuring results of the farmland conversion probability by the logistic regression model firstly.The arrangement subsidy in regional land compensation was selected as reference measurement standard and measured the loss of opportunity of the stakeholders of farmland protection.The measuring results were finally obtained throughout the district from the corrections of different farmland conversion probabilities.The results emerged a reducing trend from the urban center to the exurban zone in all-region space, which corresponded to reality.The differential compensation of farmland protection made up the loss of opportunity of the farmers, strengthened the willingness to protect farmland, coordinated the unfairness of farmland development rights caused by land use planning and land expropriation and met the objective status of regional economic development and construction demand.This study provided the empirical basis for practices of the farmland preservation compensation and enriched theory and methods of farmland preservation compensation research system.
Key words:  economic compensation  farmland protection  farmland conversion probability  logistic