| 摘要: |
| 依据《山东统计年鉴》（1981—2012）中的相关统计数据，阐述了20世纪80年代以来山东省生猪生产格局变化的历史进程；在理论分析生猪生产格局影响因素的基础上，应用面板数据模型实证分析山东省生猪生产格局的影响因素。结果表明：1982年以来山东省生猪生产格局经历了从“√”型格局到“⌒”状格局再到“·—S”格局的变化过程；上一年生猪生产格局指数、消费者市场潜力、政策扶持和畜牧业比较优势对生猪生产格局变化有显著正影响，非农就业机会有显著负影响，且上一年生猪生产格局指数的影响程度明显高于其余4个因素。 |
| 关键词: 猪 格局 影响因素 面板模型 山东省 |
| DOI：10.11841/j.issn.1007-4333.2014.01.28 |
| 投稿时间：2013-07-03 |
| 基金项目:山东省现代农业产业技术体系生猪创新团队建设项目 |
|
| Empirical analysis of the influencing factors on pig production layout in Shandong Province |
|
ZHANG Yuan-yuan, SUN Shi-min
|
| (School of Economy and Management, Shandong Agricultural University, Taian 271018, China) |
| Abstract: |
| Reasonable production layout of live pigs is of great significance,which benefits resource allocation and spatial structure optimization.Based on the relevant statistics in Shandong Statistical Yearbook (1983—2012),this paper elaborated the changes of space layout,and then theoretically and empirically investigateed the influencing factors of the changes in Shandong province.Research shows that the pig production distribution of Shandong province has experienced "√" type layout,"⌒" type layout and "·—S" type layout since 1982.The original pig production layout index,potential consumer market,supporting policies and comparative advantage of animal husbandry have positive effects on pig production layout index,while non-agricultural employment opportunities have negative impacts. |
| Key words: pig production layout influencing factors panel data mode Shandong Province |
