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物元模型及其在区域水资源综合评判中的应用
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摘要:
为研究物元模型在水资源综合评判中的应用,首先对物元模型评价方法进行了介绍,并在模型构建中引入了层次分析法(AHP)以确定权重,再以河北滹滏原为例,对其农业水资源状况进行了综合评价。结果表明:滹滏平原的农业用水总体情况的评价值为低水平的3级,与其相应的下一层次区域水资源占有量的评价值为3级,供水评价值也是3级,区域用水水平评价级别为1级,虽然后者为1级,但是区域农业用水总体水供需状况还是非常不容乐观。经验证,模型评价符合当地实际情况。本区的研究表明利用物元模型对区域水资源状况进行综合评判具有客观、真实性。
关键词:  水资源评价 综合评判 物元模型 层次分析法 权重 区域水资源
DOI:10.11841/j.issn.1007-4333.2003.01.010
修订日期:2002-06-27
基金项目:国家自然基金重点资助项目 (79830 0 4 0 ),科学技术部社会公益研究专项资金资助项目,水利部科技创新资助项目 (SCX2 0 0 1 0 8)
Matter elements model and its application to regional water resources synthesize assessment
Abstract:
In order to identify the feasibility of elements model applied to regional water resource assessment, the element model method was introduced and the AHP method was adopted to calculate the weights of each criterion. As a case, the agricultural water resources of Hufu Plain in Hebei province were evaluated by using the element model. The results showed that the evaluation grade of the total agricultural water resources was low-level of 3 grade in this region; and the evaluation grades of its quantity of water resource, water supply and water utilization were 3, 3, and 1 respectively. the status of the total agricultural water supply and water demand are therefore far from optimistic in study region. The study above results suggest that the application of element models method for evaluating region water resource is feasible and reliable.
Key words:  water resources,matter elements model,AHP method,synthesize assessment