农户土地承包权退出意愿的影响因素——基于文献的荟萃回归分析
投稿时间:2020-11-30    点此下载全文
引用本文:曹丹丘,丁志超,周蒙,李军.农户土地承包权退出意愿的影响因素——基于文献的荟萃回归分析[J].中国农业大学学报,2021,26(8):224-235
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作者单位E-mail
曹丹丘 中国农业大学 国家农业农村发展研究院, 北京 100083 danqiu0207@163.com 
丁志超 中国农业大学 国家农业农村发展研究院, 北京 100083  
周蒙 中国农业大学 国家农业农村发展研究院, 北京 100083  
李军 中国农业大学 国家农业农村发展研究院, 北京 100083
中国农业大学 经济管理学院, 北京 100083 
sirlijun@126.com 
基金项目:农业农村部政策研究课题(62119085)
中文摘要:为检验“农户土地承包权退出意愿影响因素”的实证研究结论是否受具体研究特征影响,利用荟萃回归分析方法对该领域主要实证文献进行分析。结果表明:1)“调研对象”“调研地区”“有效样本量”“自变量个数”“回归方法”的差异是影响“土地承包权退出意愿影响因素”结论分歧的重要因素。2)漏斗不对称检验发现,样本文献存在发表偏倚问题,发表偏倚主要发生在“性别”“非农收入占比”和“是否有城镇住房”3个指标。据此,建议后续研究更加谨慎选取研究方法和理论模型,以期得出更具科学性和实践意义的政策建议。
中文关键词:土地承包权退出  意愿  影响因素  荟萃回归分析
 
Factors influencing farmers' willingness to abdicate the land contract right: A meta-regression analysis
Abstract:In order to clarify whether the results of the empirical literature on “the factors influencing the farmers' willingness to abdicate the land contract right” are affected by the characteristics of specific studies, major empirical literature were selected for meta-regression analysis. The results show that: 1)Differences in perspectives of “the research object” “the research area”, “effective samples”, “number of independent variable” and “regression method” are the most important factors affecting the divergence of research conclusions. 2)By means of the funnel plot asymmetry analysis, it is discovered that there are some publication bias existed in the sample literature, which mainly concentrated on “gender”, “the percentage of non-agricultural income” and “urban real estate”. It is suggested that the research method and theoretical model should be more carefully selected in the follow-up studies in order to obtain more scientific and practical policy recommendations.
keywords:land contract right abdication  willingness  influence factors  meta-regression analysis
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