农产品价格波动背景下农户短期生产要素投入决策分析——基于对蛋鸡规模养殖户的调查

Analysis of farmers' decision on key elements input in short-term production under the background of agricultural products price fluctuations: Based on the survey of large-scale layer farmers

关键词:  鸡蛋价格  生产要素  蛋鸡  Logit模型

Key words:  egg price  production factors  layer  Logit model

摘要:

为了解农产品价格波动背景下的农户短期生产要素投入决策，以蛋鸡为例，利用Logit模型对鸡蛋价格波动背景下蛋鸡养殖户短期生产要素投入决策问题进行了研究，结果表明：鸡蛋价格波动对部分养殖户生产要素投入决策上有影响，且在短期内调整生产要素投入可增加收益或减少损失；户主受教育程度、蛋鸡养殖收入、标准化养殖场以及合作社显著影响了养殖户短期内调整生产要素投入的决策，可通过培训、指导、参观以及继续推进蛋鸡养殖标准化、建立合作社等措施提升养殖户应对农产品价格波动的能力。

Abstract:

To investigate the farmers' decision on short-term production factors input under the background of price fluctuations,farmers' short-term input decision was analyzed through Logit model by taking layer production as study case.The results showed that:The price fluctuations of eggs only influenced part of the farmers' decision.Farmers who adjusted production factors input gained more profits or minimized their losses in short term;Their decisions were greatly influenced by the farmers’ education,income of breeding layers,standardization and cooperation.Farmers’ ability to respond to the price fluctuations of agricultural products could be improved through training,guiding,visit arrangement,standardization of farms and establishment of Hens Breeding Cooperatives.