| 摘要: |
| 为探究粮食安全与农业增收“双赢”的实现路径，基于2008—2020年我国13个粮食主产区的面板数据，采用耦合协调度模型、面板回归模型、两阶段最小二乘法，考察了农业保险保障水平对粮食产量与农业收入一致性水平的影响及其作用机制。结果表明:1)2008—2020年主产区粮食产量与农业收入的耦合协调度水平波动上升，但仍未突破中度协调等级，各主产区的耦合协调度水平差异显著，呈现“三梯队分布”；2)主粮作物政策性农业保险保障水平能显著提高粮食产量与农业收入的一致性水平，保障水平每提高1个百分点，一致性水平上升0.835；3)主粮作物政策性农业保险保障水平推动了主产区粮食作物的适度规模经营发展，总量维度和效率维度的适度规模经营均在农业保险提高粮食产量与农业收入的一致性水平中发挥了显著的中介效应，中介效应占比分别为50.19%和24.10%。因此，为了实现粮食安全与农业增收二者兼得，应着力提高主粮作物保险保障水平，巩固和完善农民种粮收益保障机制；以农业保险助推粮食作物适度规模经营发展，为粮食增产与农业增收提供新引擎。 |
| 关键词: 农业保险 粮食安全 农业增收 耦合协调度 适度规模经营 |
| DOI：10.11841/j.issn.1007-4333.2023.08.03 |
| 投稿时间：2022-11-17 |
| 基金项目:国家自然科学基金面上项目(71773067)；国家自然科学基金青年项目(71803103) |
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| Can agricultural insurance security level improve the consistency between food security and agricultural income increase? |
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WEI Chao1,CHEN Shengwei2*
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| (1.School of Economics and Management, Shandong Agricultural University, Tai'an 271018, China;2.Shandong University of Technology, Zibo 255000, China) |
| Abstract: |
| In order to explore the realization path of “win-win” between food security and agricultural income increase, based on the panel data of 13 major grain producing regions in China from 2008 to 2020, the impact of agricultural insurance level on the consistency of grain output and agricultural income and its mechanism were investigated by using the coupling coordination model, panel regression model and two-stage least square method. The results showed that: 1)From 2008 to 2020, the level of coupling coordination between grain output and agricultural income in the main production areas fluctuated and rose, but it still did not break through the moderate coordination level. The level of coupling coordination in the main production areas was significantly different, showing a “three echelon distribution”; 2)The policy based agricultural insurance guarantee level for staple crops significantly improved the consistency between grain output and agricultural income. The consistency level increased by 0. 835 for every 1 percentage point increase in the guarantee level; 3)The level of policy oriented agricultural insurance for major grain crops promoted the development of moderate scale operation of grain crops in major production areas. The moderate scale operation in both the total amount dimension and the efficiency dimension played a significant intermediary effect in the agricultural insurance to improve the consistency between grain output and agricultural income, with the intermediary effect accounting for 50. 19% and 24. 10%, respectively. Therefore, in order to achieve both food security and agricultural income increase, efforts should be made to improve the insurance level of staple food crops, consolidate and improve the income security mechanism for farmers' grain planting; Agricultural insurance will be used to boost the development of grain crops on a moderate scale, providing a new engine for grain production increase and agricultural income increase. |
| Key words: agricultural insurance food security agricultural income increase coupling coordination level moderate scale operation |
