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乡村数字化对中国农业韧性的影响机制——基于耦合协调度和中介效应模型的实证
于丽艳1,史晨宇1,杨鑫2,穆月英3*
0
(1.天津科技大学 经济与管理学院, 天津 300457;2.中国社会科学院 农村发展研究所, 北京 100732;3.中国农业大学 经济管理学院, 北京 100083)
摘要:
为探究乡村数字化对农业韧性的影响,利用2011—2020年中国30个省(直辖市、自治区)的面板数据(统计数据未含西藏及港澳台地区,下同),采用熵值法测算了中国农业韧性与乡村数字化发展水平。利用耦合协调度模型、中介效应模型分析了二者的协调程度,探究了乡村数字化对农业韧性的作用机制。结果表明:当前我国农业韧性水平与乡村数字化发展水平及二者的耦合协调程度总体呈上升趋势;乡村数字化可通过缩小城乡收入差距、提升农村人力资本水平促进农业韧性提高;乡村数字化在农业韧性水平低的地区提升效应更加明显。
关键词:  乡村数字化  农业韧性  城乡收入差距  农村人力资本  耦合协调度
DOI:10.11841/j.issn.1007-4333.2023.07.26
投稿时间:2023-02-21
基金项目:国家自然科学基金项目(71773121);国家社会科学基金重大项目(18ZDA074);现代农业产业技术体系北京市产业经济与政策创新团队项目(BAIC11-2023)
Impact mechanism of rural digitization on China's agricultural resilience: An empirical study based on the coupling coordination degree and mediating effect models
YU Liyan1,SHI Chenyu1,YANG Xin2,MU Yueying3*
(1.College of Economics and Management, Tianjin University of Science and Technology, Tianjin 300457, China;2.Rural Development Institute, Chinese Academy of Social Sciences, Beijing 100732, China;3.College of Economics and Management, China Agricultural University, Beijing 100083, China)
Abstract:
In order to explore the impact of rural digitization on agricultural resilience, this study uses the panel data of 30 provinces(municipalities and autonomous regions)in China from 2011 to 2020(Data do not include those of Tibet, Hong Kong, Macao and Taiwan regions. The same below), and adopts entropy method to estimate the development level of agricultural resilience and rural digitization in China. The coupling coordination degree model and the intermediary effect model are used to analyze the coordination degree of agricultural resilience and rural digitization, and the mechanism of rural digitization on agricultural resilience is explored. The results show that: The level of agricultural resilience, level of rural digitization development and degree of their coupling and coordination are on the rise. The rural digitization can improve agricultural resilience by narrowing urban-rural income gap and improving rural human capital. The rural digitization is more effective in areas with low agricultural resilience.
Key words:  agricultural resilience  rural digitization  urban-rural income gap  rural human capital  coupling coordination degree analysis