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安庆都市圈生态系统服务权衡与协同
黄颖1,2,税伟3*,温铁军1,张林波4,张永永3
0
(1.福建农林大学 安溪茶学院, 福州 350002;2.福建省农业科学院 农业经济与科技信息研究所, 福州 350003;3.福州大学 环境与安全工程学院, 福州 350108;4.山东大学 黄河生态产品价值实现研究中心, 山东 青岛 266237)
摘要:
为厘清区域发展特征、优化区域布局、实现生态转型和绿色可持续发展,研究生态系统服务之间的权衡和协同关系是发展的基础。本研究以安庆都市圈为研究对象,运用空间计量法估算安庆都市圈的水源涵养、土壤保持、NPP服务和食物供给等4 种生态系统服务,分析不同生态系统服务之间的权衡与协同关系,并运用CA-Markov 模型预测2030年的生态系统服务。结果表明:从空间上来看,西北的大别山余脉区域和东南的江湖平原区域在生态系统服务上呈现显著差异。西北山区属于土壤保持服务的高值区,东南平原区属于NPP服务、食物供给服务的高值区;从时间上来看,2000年以来,安庆都市圈的食物供给服务呈现明显的增长趋势,水源涵养服务基本保持稳定,NPP服务略有增长,土壤保持服务在2000—2010年增长较快,2010年以后较为保持在较为稳定的状态;从权衡与协同关系来看,水源涵养服务与NPP服务之间的协同关系最强,土壤保持服务与食物供给服务之间呈现权衡关系。最后,本研究预测2030年的生态系统服务之间的权衡关系在减弱,协同关系增强。
关键词:  生态系统服务  权衡协同  预测  时空格局
DOI:10.11841/j.issn.1007-4333.2022.03.23
投稿时间:2021-08-27
基金项目:福建省属公益科研院所基本科研专项(2020R1033004);福建省自然科学基金项目(2020J011375)
Trade-off and synergy relationship of ecosystem services in Anqing metropolitan area
HUANG Ying1,2,SHUI Wei3*,WEN Tiejun1,ZHANG Linbo4,ZHANG Yongyong3
(1.Anxi Tea College, Fujian Agriculture and Forestry University, Fuzhou 350002, China;2.Institute of Agricultural Economy and Science and Technology Information, Fujian Academy of Agricultural Sciences, Fuzhou 350003, China;3.College of Environment & Safety Engineering, Fuzhou University, Fuzhou 350108, China;4.Center for Yellow River Ecosystem Products Value Realization, Shandong University, Qingdao 266237, China)
Abstract:
To clarify the characteristics of regional development, optimize regional layout and realize ecological transformation and green sustainable development, Anqing metropolitan area is taken as study object. There are four ecosystem services of Anqing metropolitan area, e. g. , water conservation service, soil consolidation service, NPP service and food supply service. The trade-off or synergy between different ecosystem services are investigated. The CA Markov model is used to predict the ecosystem services in 2030. The conclusions are as follows: There are significant differences in ecosystem services between the Northwest Mountains and the Southeast Plain. The Northwest Mountainous is the high value area of soil conservation service, and the southeast plain is the high value area of biological production service and food supply service. Since 2000, the food supply service in Anqing metropolitan area has shown an obvious growth trend, the water conservation service has basically remained stable, the NPP service has increased slightly, the soil consolidation service has increased from 2000 to 2010, and has remained relatively stable after 2010. In terms of correlation, the synergy relationship between water conservation service and NPP service is the strongest. There is a trade-off relationship between soil conservation service and food supply service. It is predicted that the trade-off between ecosystem services will be weakened and the synergy will be strengthened in 2030. In the process of urban construction and development in the future, Anqing metropolitan area should combine with the construction of ecological civilization, and fully protect other ecosystem services to ensure food supply.
Key words:  ecosystem services  trade-off and synergy  forecast  spatial and temporal patterns