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中国农村绿色发展水平的时空差异及驱动因素分析
余威震1,2, 罗小锋1,2, 薛龙飞3, 李兆亮4
0
(1.华中农业大学 经济管理学院, 武汉 430070;2.湖北农村发展研究中心, 武汉 430070;3.河北经贸大学 经济管理学院, 石家庄 050000;4.武汉工程大学 法商学院, 武汉 430070)
摘要:
为探讨中国农村绿色发展水平的时空差异与驱动因素,从生产、生活、生态3个维度构建指标体系,在测算出各地区2005—2014年农村绿色发展水平的基础上,运用Dagum基尼系数法分析其时空差异,并构建计量经济模型探讨其影响因素。结果显示:1)中国农村绿色发展水平整体较好且处于上升趋势,其中东部 > 中部 > 西部 > 东北;2)中国农村绿色发展水平总体差距不断扩大,东部与西部的区域内差距相对较大,而总体差距主要来自于区域间差异;3)中国农村绿色发展水平与人均GDP、城镇化水平、农业科技水平以及农户投资能力显著正相关;各区域农村绿色发展的驱动因素同中存异,人均GDP对东部和西部、城镇化水平则对中部和东北均有显著促进作用,但城镇化水平和生态保护社会投资对西部农村绿色发展产生显著负向影响。
关键词:  农村绿色发展  熵权法  时空差异  Dagum基尼系数  驱动因素
DOI:10.11841/j.issn.1007-4333.2018.09.22
投稿时间:2017-10-17
基金项目:国家社科基金重点项目(15AZD071);教育部人文社会科学研究规划基金项目(15YJAZH050);国家自然科学基金重点项目(71333006);湖北省软科学项目(2016ADC007);中央高校基本科研业务费专项资金资助项目(2662018YJ001)
Spatiotemporal differences and driving factors of green development in rural China
YU Weizhen1,2, LUO Xiaofeng1,2, XUE Longfei3, LI Zhaoliang4
(1.College of Economics & Management, Huazhong Agricultural University, Wuhan 430070, China;2.Hubei Rural Development Research Center, Wuhan 430070, China;3.College of Economics & Management, Hebei University of Economics & Management, Shijiazhuang 050000, China;4.College of Law and Economics, Wuhan Institute of Technology School, Wuhan 430070, China)
Abstract:
To investigate the spatial and temporal differences and driving factors of green development level in rural China, a index system is constructed from the 3 dimensions of production, life and ecology. Based on the measurement of the green development level of rural areas from 2005 to 2014, the Dagum Gini coefficient method is used to analyze the spatial and temporal differences, and a econometric model is established to explore the influencing factors. The results showed that:1) The green development level of China's rural areas is getting better, the east region > the central region > the west region > the northeast region. 2) The overall gap among China's rural green development and the gap between the eastern and western regions are getting larger, and the overall gap is mainly from the regional differences. 3) Economic development, urbanization, agricultural technology and farmers' investment ability have significant impacts on the rural green development. The economic development displays a significant positive impact on the eastern and western regions while the urbanization has a greater role in the central and northeast. However, the urbanization and ecological protection of social investment in the western region play a negative impact.
Key words:  rural green development  Entropy weight method  spatial-temporal difference  Dagum-Gini index  driving factors