| 摘要: |
| 分析中韩农产品贸易现状和中韩自贸区（FTA）谈判历程及《中韩自贸协定》农业领域的主要内容，从增长潜力和主要影响因素2方面探讨了中国农产品对韩国出口前景。结果表明：近年来，中国农产品对韩国出口保持较快增长且出口产品集中度一直很高；中国农产品对韩国出口总体上仍具有一定增长潜力，且在未来中韩FTA实施后会进一步扩大；但受到中国农产品整体出口竞争力下降、韩国农产品市场整体开放程度较低、韩国农产品关税形式复杂多样、韩国加强非关税贸易保护措施运用、韩美FTA实施压缩中国农产品扩大对韩国出口空间等的影响，以及韩国国内市场容量较为有限，未来中韩FTA实施后中国农产品对韩国出口的增长幅度预计不大。 |
| 关键词: 中韩FTA 农产品 出口前景 出口结构 |
| DOI：10.11841/j.issn.1007-4333.2016.10.23 |
| 投稿时间：2015-09-18 |
| 基金项目:韩国农村经济研究院（KREI）委托课题；中国农业科学院科技创新工程项目（ASTIP-IAED-2016-06） |
|
| The prospect of China's agricultural products exports to Korea under China-Korea FTA |
|
SUN Zhi-lu, LI Xian-de
|
| (Institute of Agricultural Economics and Development, Chinese Academy of Agricultural Sciences, Beijing 100081, China) |
| Abstract: |
| The present situation of agricultural trade between China and Korea,the process of China-Korea Free Trade Area (FTA) negotiation and main content of China-Korea FTA in agricultural field were analyzed,and the prospect of China's agricultural exports to Korea was discussed from two aspects including growth potential and main influencing factors.The results indicated that:China's agricultural exports to Korea kept increasing and the export product concentration remained very high during recent years.China's agricultural exports to Korea in total still have some growth potential and would be further enlarged after the implementation of China-Korea FTA in future.And it was influenced by the decrease in the whole export competitiveness of China's agricultural products,the limitation of the whole openness of Korea's agricultural products market,the complication of Korea's agricultural tariffs,the more usage of non-tariff trade protection measures of Korea and extrusion effect of the implementation of Korea-US FTA on the expansion room of China's agricultural exports to Korea,and considering the relatively limited overall volume of Korea's domestic market,the growth range of China's agricultural exports to Korea after the implementation of China-Korea FTA in future would not be significant. |
| Key words: China-Korea FTA agricultural products export prospect export structure |
