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要素价格变动影响农业能源效率的实证研究
戴红军1,2, 孙涛1, 郭文1, 张坤1,3, 高明美1,4
0
(1.南京航空航天大学 经济与管理学院, 南京 211106;2.淮南师范学院 经济与管理学院, 安徽 淮南 232000;3.山东政法学院 信息科学技术系, 济南 250014;4.青岛大学 数学科学学院, 山东 青岛 266071)
摘要:
运用协整分析、格兰杰因果关系检验、VAR模型、脉冲响应函数以及岭回归方法,研究要素价格变动对农业能源效率的影响。实证研究结果表明:能源要素、资本要素以及劳动力要素价格与农业能源效率存在长期的均衡关系。3种要素价格都是农业能源效率的格兰杰原因,而反向的格兰杰因果关系则不存在。能源价格和劳动力价格对能源效率产生正向影响,其上涨1%分别使能源效率提高0.341%和0.364%;而资本价格对能源效率的影响却相反,资本价格下降1%会可使能源效率提高0.084%。应进一步推进要素价格的市场化改革,形成有效的价格约束机制;同时应充分利用价格手段,加快农业产业结构升级,提高农业能源效率。
关键词:  要素价格  农业能源效率  长期均衡关系  格兰杰原因  岭回归  价格约束机制
DOI:10.11841/j.issn.1007-4333.2016.05.021
投稿时间:2015-03-17
基金项目:国家自然科学基金项目(71403120);江苏省哲学社科基金重点课题(12EYA001);江苏省研究生培养创新工程项目(KYZZ_0107);江苏省高校研究生培养创新基金项目(CXLX12_0178);山东政法学院科研计划项目(2014Q02B)
An empirical research on the impact of factor price changes on agricultural energy efficiency
DAI Hong-jun1,2, SUN Tao1, GUO Wen1, ZHANG Kun1,3, GAO Ming-mei1,4
(1.College of Economic and Management, Nanjing University of Aeronautics and Astronautics, Nanjing 211106, China;2.College of Economic and Management, Huainan Normal University, Huainan 232000, China;3.College of Information Science and Technology, Shandong University of Political Science and Law, Jinan 250014, China;4.College of Mathematics, Qingdao University, Qingdao 266071, China)
Abstract:
Cointegration analysis, granger causality test, VAR model, impulse response function and ridge regression are adopted to study the impact of factor price changes on agriculture energy efficiency.The results show that:There is a long-term equilibrium relationship between energy factor, capital factor and the price of factor labor and agricultural energy efficiency;Three factor prices are Granger-cause of the agricultural energy efficiency, while the reverse Granger causality does not exist;Energy and labor prices have a positive impact on energy efficiency, which improve energy efficiency by 0.341% and 0.364% when raised by 1%, respectively.On the contrary, capital prices have a negative impact on energy efficiency, which improve energy efficiency by 0.084% when decreased by 1%.In order to improve agricultural energy efficiency by the price means we should further promote market-oriented reform of factor prices to form an effective price restraint mechanism and accelerate the upgrading of industrial structure of agriculture.
Key words:  factor price  agricultural energy efficiency  long-term equilibrium relationship  Grainger-cause  ridge regression  price restraint mechanism