| 摘要: |
| 食物安全的风险防范体系是国家安全战略及其风险管理体制的重要组成部分。人口增长、耕地面积减少、水资源短缺、国际贸易壁垒以及全球气候变化所带来的不确定性等,都将成为影响我国未来综合食物安全保障的风险源。研究对综合食物安全的内涵进行了阐述,认为综合食物安全应当包括食物数量安全,其中食物质量安全和食物可持续供给安全,其中食物数量安全是实现综合食物安全的基础。在此基础上,系统分析了影响我国食物数量安全的5大风险因子:即资源约束风险、生产投入性约束风险、自然灾害风险、消费需求风险和国际贸易风险,构建了我国食物数量安全的风险防范体系和应急处理系统,提出了我国食物数量安全风险防范的长效措施。 |
| 关键词: 食物安全 风险因子 防范体系 应急预案 |
| DOI：10.11841/j.issn.1007-4333.2011.04.027 |
| 投稿时间：2010-12-04 |
| 基金项目:国家科技支撑项目(2006BAD20B07); 国家自然科学基金资助项目(40871156) |
|
| Study on the risk prevention system of food quantitysecurity in China |
|
ZHONG Lai-yuan1,2, LIU Li-ming1
|
| (1.College of Resources and Environmental Sciences,China Agricultural University,Beijing 100193,China;2.College of Agronomy,Guangdong Ocean University,Zhanjiang 524088,China) |
| Abstract: |
| Risk prevention system for food security is one of important parts of national security strategy and risk management system.Population growth,cultivated land area decrease,water shortages,international trade Barrier,and uncertainty of global climate change all factors would become the risk source of integrated food security in China.Here,we exploreded the connotation of integrated food security(IFS).IFS should include "food quantity security","food quality security" and "food sustainability supply security".Food quantity security is the foundation of realizing IFS.We systematically analyzed five risk factors affecting food quantity security,namely,resources restriction,production inputs restriction,natural disasters,consumption demand and international trade.The present paper focused on constructing the risk prevention system and emergency response plan for food quantity security,and some long-term measures were proposed to prevent the risk. |
| Key words: food security risk factors prevention system emergency response plan |
