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灰色局势决策在烤烟品种综合评价中的应用
孟祥东1, 张学杰1, 赵铭钦1, 刘国顺1, 程玉渊2
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(1.河南农业大学 烟草学院 国家烟草栽培生理生化研究基地,郑州 450002;2.河南省烟草公司南阳分公司,河南 南阳 473061)
摘要:
针对烤烟品种综合评价传统分析方法仅从一个性状进行分析,对其他性状仅做定性描述导致评价结果不够准确的问题, 运用灰色系统理论中的灰色局势决策原理,对河南省南阳地区的烤烟品种进行综合评价。结果表明:在注重性状权重的情况下,烤烟品种综合性状的优劣次序依次为云烟87、云烟85、中烟100、中烟98、K326、9717、8541、39511和中烟101;这与生产上南阳地区烤烟主栽品种为云烟87和云烟85,搭配品种为中烟100和K326的实际情况基本一致。灰色局势决策法为烤烟新品种的综合评价提供了一种较为全面的量化分析方法,解决了多目标间的不可公度性和目标间的矛盾性,弥补了传统分析方法仅从产量单一性状指标入手导致偏颇的不足。
关键词:  灰色局势决策  烤烟  品种  综合评价
DOI:10.11841/j.issn.1007-4333.2010.01.017
投稿时间:2009-07-07
基金项目:国家烟草专卖局重大科技攻关项目(110200401004)第一作者:孟祥东,硕士研究生,E-mail:starmengdong@163.com通讯作者:赵铭钦,教授,博士生导师,主要从事烟草质量评价、烟草化学与香精香料、烟草发酵与加工工艺研究,E-mail:mqzhao999@tom.com
Comprehensive appraisal of new flue-cured tobacco varieties with grey situation decision making
MENG XiAng-dong1, ZHANG Xue-jie1, ZHAO Ming-qin1, LIU Guo-shun1, CHENG Yu-yuan2
(1.Tobacco college of Henan Agricultural University, National Tobacco Cultivation & Physiology & Biochemistry Research Center,Zhengzhou 450002,China;2.Nanyang Tobacco Company of Henan Province, Nanyang 473061, China)
Abstract:
In view of the problems of comprehensive evaluation traditional analysis of flue-cured tobacco varieties which was analyzed by the analysis of only one trait, as well as the qualitative description from other traits, the tobacco varieties in NanYang were tested and a comprehensive appraisal was made by grey situation decision making approach. The results indicated that when the weighted trait were considered, the order of pros and cons of flue-cured tobacco variety is yunyan87, yunyan85, zhongyan100, zhongyan98, k326, 9717, 8541, 39511, and zhongyan101.The analytical results are in accordance with practical ones. The decision law of the grey situation is a kind of comprehensive quantitative analytical method, which provides an approach for evaluating the new variety of the flue-cured tobacco, and can be used to resolve the incommensurability of multiple objectives and contradictions among them, and to compensate for the deficiency of the traditional analytical method.
Key words:  gray situation decision making  flue-cured tobacco  variety  comprehensive appraisal