| 摘要: |
| 对我国农业对外依存度进行全面疏理。主要结论如下:1)2007年,我国农业对外总依存度为12%,低于世界平均水平;与1990年相比,我国农业进口依存度上升,出口依存度下降,出口竞争力的不足是我国农业对外依存度较低的主要原因。2)区域农业对外依存度呈现的特征为,东部外向,东北持平,中部内向,西部提速。3)我国对外进口依存度较高的产品主要是土地密集型产品和资源型产品。当需求量年均增幅超过5%时,净依存度会不断增加。大豆受到的冲击最大,净依存度达到238%,国内产量明显下降,需要密切关注进口农产品价格的变化。4)我国具有优势的劳动密集型农产品出口依存度较低,而且面临出口市场过分集中、量增收益不增等问题,如何提高农产品非价格竞争力是当前发展我国外向型农业的关键所在。5)谷物对外依存度不断波动,但近年来净依存度为负,表明我国谷物生产总体处于较安全的状态。基于我国农业对外依存度现状,未来农业发展应在立足谷物产业安全的基础上,重点改善贸易环境,而不必对单个农产品的进口依存度过份敏感,特别是不能误解和低估粮食供给能力而影响农业结构调整。 |
| 关键词: 中国农业 对外依存度 产业安全 国际竞争力 贸易管理 |
| DOI：10.11841/j.issn.1007-4333.2009.03.072 |
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| 基金项目:联合国粮农组织、联合国世界粮食计划署和国际农业发展基金联合委托课题 |
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| Research on agricultural external dependence in China |
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| Abstract: |
| Information about agricultural external dependence in China has been sorted in this thesis.The main conclusion is that agricultural external dependence in China is below the world average level due to the low level of export dependence.But it also showed that corn industry in China is in relatively safe status.China has imported lots of farming produce for it lacks arable land and special resources,such as soybean.The reason of low export dependence of China agriculture is that its competitiveness mainly re... |
| Key words: China agriculture external dependence industry safety international competitiveness trade management |
