| 摘要: |
| 根据风险分析概念，总结了有害生物风险分析理论和方法。针对有害生物风险分析中存在的“数据获取”问题，结合天气模拟模型和多因子调控有害生物构想，提出了生态模拟现实ESR(ecologically simulated reality)，研制了ESR模拟现实生长箱，并形成了ESR有害生物风险分析技术。该技术可在生长箱中建立有害生物模拟现实生态系统，进行有害生物实验，获取数据，并建立有害生物模型和风险分析模型，进行有害生物风险分析研究。不仅能用于植物保护有害生物风险分析，还可应用于其他农业风险分析领域。 |
| 关键词: 植物保护 有害生物 风险分析 农业风险分析 |
| DOI：10.11841/j.issn.1007-4333.2003.03.074 |
| 修订日期：2002-12-27 |
| 基金项目:国家 973项目 (G2 0 0 0 0 16 2 10 )和 ( 2 0 0 2CB1114 0 5 ) |
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| Advances in the research on pest risk analysis in plant protection |
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| Abstract: |
| The theories and methods of risk analysis in plant protection were summarized according to conception of risk, risk analysis and pest risk analysis (PRA). Aim at the subject of data acquisition of PRA, integrate weather generator and frames of multi factor regulation of pests, ESR (Ecologically Simulated Reality) technology and ESR technology of PRA were built, and ESR growth chamber was designed. The technology can build system of ESR, carry out experiment of pest, data acquisition, establish model of pest and PRA, complete research of PRA. The technology can not only be used in PRA in plant protection, but also in other risk analysis of agriculture. |
| Key words: risk,pest risk analysis in plant protection,ecologically simulated reality |
